That’s a really interesting question.

Predicting sprint outcomes is always tricky because margins are so tiny, but if we look at the available evidence, we can make a reasonable case about whether Noah Lyles could beat Oblique Seville in three straight global championship 100m finals.

I’ll look at the recent history, strengths & weaknesses, and what it might take.

What we know so far

Here are the recent performances and head‑to‑head moments:

2023 World Championships: Noah Lyles won the 100m final in Budapest in 9.83 seconds. (CNN International) Oblique Seville was fourth in that race, finishing just behind the bronze medalist. (Wikipedia)

2024 Olympics in Paris: Lyles won Olympic gold in the 100m in an extremely tight photo finish (9.79) ahead of Kishane Thompson, with Seville coming eighth in that final. (World Athletics)

Seville has beaten Lyles in non‑championship meets: e.g. in the Diamond League (London, Lausanne) and at other international meets (such as Racers Grand Prix). (Diamond League).

So in the context of global championship finals (World Championships, Olympics), Lyles has beaten Seville (at least in the 2023 Worlds, and 2024 Olympics).

Seville has had strong runs in semifinals or heats, but hasn’t yet overtaken Lyles when it counts in the big final.

What are the challenges

Here are some things that might make it tough for Lyles to win three in a row against Seville (i.e. in three successive global championship 100m finals), or conversely what gives Seville hope.

Noah Lyles’s strengths:

Big‑race experience, excellent ability to deliver under pressure in finals.

He has already done it in Worlds and Olympics. (World Athletics)

Strong finish: even when he is not perfect out of the blocks, he’s good in the latter part of the 100m.

That helps when rivals like Seville get an early jump. (SuperSport)

Weaknesses / Risks:

Seville has shown he can beat Lyles in ideal conditions, especially in the Diamond League and other meets. These wins boost his confidence, and suggest that if everything lines up for him (fast start, good condition, good lane, etc.), he could win. (Ahram Online)

• The margins are very narrow. Even small things (reaction time, lane, weather conditions, form on that day) can shift the outcome.

Is a “third global championship final in a row” win likely?

“Global championship finals” means the big ones: Olympics + World Championships.

If the pattern is:

1. 2023 World Championships – Lyles beat Seville.

2. 2024 Olympics – Lyles beat Seville.

3. 2025 World Championships (hypothetical) – could Lyles beat Seville again?

Based on what’s known:

• Lyles enters with momentum: He’s the reigning champion from the 100m in Worlds (2023) and Olympics (2024).

• Seville is clearly improving, showing times and consistency in other international meets that suggest he can threaten Lyles.

• But in both of the last two global finals, Seville didn’t deliver a performance equivalent to Lyles’s.

Whether because of nerves, lane, or execution, he hasn’t yet translated his best into the final.

So if everything stays “normal” (i.e. no injuries, both are in good shape, no freak conditions), I’d lean toward yes, Lyles could very well beat Seville again in a third global championship 100m final in a row.

Lyles has shown that in the biggest moments he can pull through; Seville has yet to do precisely that in a global final versus Lyles.

What would Seville need to do to change that pattern

If Seville wants to flip the script in the next global final, here are important factors:

1. Perfect start: Seville’s early acceleration has been a key to his wins in other meets.

2. Getting out quickly would reduce the catch‑up work.

3. Maintain composure under pressure: Finals have all the extra tension, and Lyles has shown he can handle that. Seville’s ability to stay mentally sharp in a final is crucial.

4. Peak condition: That includes optimal training, rest, recovery. Any small physical or mental handicap can cost hundredths.

Race tactics/finishes: Lyles tends to close strongly; Seville will need not just to start well but also to delay or cushion Lyles’s rally or minimize the ground Lyles can make in the final 40‑50m.

So wrapping this up: Yes, it is quite plausible that Noah Lyles will again beat Oblique Seville in a third straight global‑championship final, especially given his track record in major finals. But it’s far from guaranteed.

Seville is proving to be a serious threat and if he nails everything and Lyles falters just a little, he could upset.